Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.409529 0.478709 0.556339 0.649978 0.759977 0.885231 1.038879
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.309858 0.402472 0.518151 0.673621 0.877714 1.137355 1.494115
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.250632 0.349811 0.483106 0.676093 0.949686 1.325654 1.885003
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.214259 0.316983 0.463503 0.688922 1.029270 1.527613 2.319414
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.180828 0.281130 0.431638 0.675560 1.064331 1.665589 2.676904
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.156503 0.254285 0.407793 0.668416 1.104461 1.812838 3.067190
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.139042 0.235185 0.392471 0.671128 1.158588 1.987188 3.525822
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.130356 0.228994 0.396758 0.706182 1.270807 2.272771 4.219524
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.122468 0.222859 0.399908 0.738990 1.382728 2.572245 4.984268
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.113959 0.214308 0.397376 0.760569 1.476184 2.849793 5.749633
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.104648 0.202939 0.388020 0.767551 1.541930 3.082547 6.461104
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.094793 0.189193 0.372301 0.759633 1.576332 3.256986 7.077692
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.084612 0.173760 0.351851 0.740395 1.586934 3.388786 7.635326
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.080166 0.169487 0.353371 0.767436 1.700381 3.756157 8.784259
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.073978 0.160707 0.344341 0.770265 1.760632 4.015184 9.725652
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.069466 0.154939 0.340927 0.784943 1.849632 4.351867 10.910838
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.063127 0.144289 0.325434 0.769655 1.865817 4.519826 11.703564
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.058000 0.135761 0.313656 0.761482 1.897921 4.730733 12.643663
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.054145 0.129735 0.306913 0.764584 1.958539 5.021577 13.848534
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.052887 0.129786 0.314571 0.804694 2.120128 5.596262 15.941153
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.051489 0.129316 0.320889 0.842240 2.280657 6.193024 18.207581
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.049455 0.126982 0.322263 0.866941 2.410037 6.725054 20.382876
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.046731 0.122533 0.317694 0.874934 2.493977 7.142754 22.288899